Antarctic Ozone Hole Reaches Second-Largest September Size on Record, Driven by Strong Polar Vortex
According to the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, the Antarctic ozone hole grew to 10.6 million square miles in September 2026, marking the second-largest size recorded for that month. Its formation began in August and neared the peak of 10.8 million square miles recorded in October 2015. The presence of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) is responsible for the hole, despite the 1987 Montreal Protocol. Hannah Kessenich from the University of Otago noted that a stronger and colder polar vortex contributed to unusually high winds and low temperatures, facilitating the hole's expansion. While this year's hole is less deep, its larger size will influence the Southern Annular Mode, impacting winds and precipitation. The hole is predicted to diminish by late January.
Key facts
- The Antarctic ozone hole peaked at 10.6 million square miles in September 2026, the second-largest ever observed for that time of year.
- The hole began growing earlier than usual in August and by September 20 reached a size close to its October 2015 peak of 10.8 million square miles.
- The ozone hole is a patch of depleted ozone in the stratosphere over Antarctica, mainly caused by chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) that persist for decades despite the 1987 Montreal Protocol.
- A stronger and colder polar vortex this year created conditions for the hole to grow, according to Hannah Kessenich, a physicist at the University of Otago in New Zealand.
- Kessenich told ABC News that the hole's size shouldn't cause alarm, and recovery is assessed by depth rather than area.
- Susan Solomon, an atmospheric chemist at MIT, said long-term trends show the ozone hole is slowly recovering as expected.
- A larger ozone hole shifts the Southern Annular Mode into a positive phase, causing increased rainfall on Australia's southeast coast.
- A 2023 study in Nature found that particles in wildfire smoke spark chemical reactions that break down ozone.
Entities
Artists
- Hannah Kessenich
- Susan Solomon
- Sara Hashemi
Institutions
- Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service
- European Union
- University of Otago
- MIT
- Australian Broadcasting Corporation
- ABC News
- Live Science
- The Conversation
- Nature
- Smithsonian Magazine
Locations
- Antarctica
- New Zealand
- Australia
- Southern Ocean
- New York City
- United States