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US to Exit USMCA, Triggering Decade-Long Trade Pact Wind-Down

economy-finance · 2026-06-30

So, on Wednesday, the Trump administration is likely going to announce that they won’t be extending the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or USMCA. This move would kick off a six-year review due to the agreement's sunset clause and set in motion a ten-year process to end the 32-year-old North American free-trade zone. Leaders in trade from all three countries will meet online to talk about a possible 16-year extension, but the US is expected to say no. Although US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer hasn’t officially commented, he has set up a third round of talks with Mexico for the week of July 20, suggesting they’re still discussing changes. Greta Peisch, a former USTR general counsel, believes the US probably won’t push for an extension, creating some uncertainty about their public stance.

Key facts

  • US expected to declare non-extension of USMCA on Wednesday.
  • Declaration triggers six-year review under sunset clause.
  • Process starts decade-long wind-down of North American free-trade zone.
  • Trade chiefs from US, Mexico, Canada meet virtually on Wednesday.
  • Greer has scheduled third round of negotiations with Mexico for July 20.
  • Demands include boosting US and regional content in auto production.
  • Trade protections aim to block Chinese goods from benefiting under USMCA.
  • Greta Peisch predicts US will not confirm extension wish.

Entities

Institutions

  • USMCA
  • Office of the United States Trade Representative
  • Wiley Rein

Locations

  • United States
  • Mexico
  • Canada
  • Washington

Sources