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US Inflation Hits 3-Year High as Consumer Spending Accelerates

economy-finance · 2026-06-25

In May, consumer spending in the US picked up speed, even as inflation surged at its highest rate in over three years, fueled by increased tax refunds, a recovering labor market, and climbing stock values. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the personal consumption expenditures price index increased by 4.1% compared to the previous year, marking the peak since April 2023. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose by 3.4%. Adjusted for inflation, spending grew by 0.3% from April, rebounding from a standstill the month before. This data intensifies the Federal Reserve's pressure to hike interest rates this year, despite recent US-Iran peace talks causing oil prices to drop. Economists anticipate that rising costs will affect various products as the initial energy shock spreads through supply chains. Although a decline in petrol prices may provide some relief, costs at the pump remain nearly $1 per gallon higher than pre-war levels. Many workers across different sectors have experienced wage increases that do not keep up with inflation, resulting in decreased savings and increased reliance on credit cards.

Key facts

  • US consumer spending accelerated in May
  • Personal consumption expenditures price index rose 4.1% year-over-year in May
  • Core inflation (excluding food and energy) rose 3.4% year-over-year
  • Inflation-adjusted consumer spending rose 0.3% month-over-month in May
  • Data from Bureau of Economic Analysis released Thursday
  • Federal Reserve faces pressure to raise interest rates
  • US-Iran peace negotiations have lowered oil prices
  • Petrol prices are nearly $1 per gallon higher than before the war
  • Higher tax refunds, labor market, and stock prices support spending
  • Wage gains fail to keep up with inflation, leading to reduced savings and increased credit card use

Entities

Institutions

  • Federal Reserve
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis

Locations

  • United States
  • Iran
  • Los Angeles
  • California

Sources