US faces two options in Iran: military victory or historic policy reversal
The United States is confronted with a stark choice in its conflict with Iran: either pursue a military victory by forcing Iran to its knees, or conduct a ruthless inventory of its Iran policy. It is unclear whether Donald Trump anticipated a modus vivendi in the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran would retain some influence over international shipping without full control. Such an arrangement was always a fallacy, given the course of the war so far. Iran cannot afford to remain below its potential, having squandered a historic and existential opportunity. For the US, only two options remain to end the war: win at any cost or admit failure.
Key facts
- US faces two options in Iran: military victory or policy reversal
- Trump may have hoped for a modus vivendi in the Strait of Hormuz
- Iran would retain some influence over shipping but not full control
- The arrangement was a fallacy given the war's trajectory
- Iran cannot afford to remain below its potential
- Iran has squandered a historic and existential opportunity
- US must either win at any cost or admit failure
Entities
Locations
- United States
- Iran
- Strait of Hormuz