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US-China Relations Stabilize on Beijing's Terms, SCMP Opinion Argues

opinion-review · 2026-09-27

An opinion piece in the South China Morning Post suggests that the Washington segment of the 2026 Xi-Trump cycle has established a managed rivalry dictated by Beijing. The article argues that, devoid of diplomatic embellishments, China controls the framework of this relationship, while the U.S. opts for stability rather than conflict, influenced by its reliance on rare earth materials, economic uncertainties, and an upcoming election. It claims that this managed rivalry does not equate to peace but represents a temporary rules-based cessation, largely authored by China. The critical question is whether the U.S. can accept this dynamic. The analysis indicates that the situation favors Beijing, as the U.S. navigates various domestic and economic challenges. No specific policies or dates are mentioned.

Key facts

  • The Washington leg of the 2026 Xi-Trump cycle cemented a managed rivalry on Beijing's terms.
  • China sets the boundaries of the relationship while Washington accepts stabilization over confrontation.
  • U.S. constraints include rare earth dependence, market jitters and a crowded election calendar.
  • Managed rivalry is described as a rules-based pause, not peace.
  • China is said to largely write the rules of this pause.
  • The test is whether the U.S. can live with the arrangement.
  • The opinion was published by the South China Morning Post.
  • The analysis focuses on the 2026 Xi-Trump diplomatic cycle.

Entities

Artists

  • Xi Jinping
  • Donald Trump

Institutions

  • South China Morning Post

Locations

  • Washington
  • United States
  • Beijing
  • China

Sources