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Middle powers cannot restore international order alone

opinion-review · 2026-05-29

A recent commentary highlights that middle powers alone cannot restore the global order. Historically, effective middle powers have adapted to structural changes rather than resisting systemic pressures. Their most impactful initiatives were built on diplomatic expertise, innovative strategies, a strong connection between academics and policymakers, consistent groundwork, and the backing of great powers—or at least avoiding their opposition. A key element was the presence of well-funded and well-trained diplomatic staff, a capacity that has diminished over time. APEC was established under favorable strategic circumstances, robust bureaucratic strength, growing globalization, and essential support from the US as well as regional great powers. Each success story of a middle power is marked by the endorsement or tolerance of the leading great power.

Key facts

  • Middle powers cannot restore international order alone.
  • Successful middle powers recognize structural change early to avoid being trapped.
  • Greatest middle power initiatives required diplomatic specialization, innovative policies, academic-policymaker nexus, steady groundwork, and great power support.
  • Well-funded and well-trained diplomatic personnel were central to middle power success.
  • The capacity of middle powers to sustain such action has long passed.
  • APEC emerged with favorable strategic conditions, strong bureaucracy, expanding globalization, and US and regional great power support.
  • Every middle power success story features support or acquiescence of the dominant great power.
  • The article is an opinion piece from SCMP.

Entities

Institutions

  • SCMP
  • APEC

Locations

  • Kananaskis
  • Alberta
  • Canada

Sources