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China's factory prices surge 3.9% in May, beating forecasts

economy-finance · 2026-06-10

China's producer price index rose 3.9% year-on-year in May, the highest since 2022 and above the 3.5% forecast by economists surveyed by Wind. The increase was driven by higher oil costs linked to the war in Iran, helping manufacturers escape years of deflation. Consumer prices rose 1.2%, unchanged from April and below the 1.4% forecast. Manufacturers have raised prices for three consecutive months since the conflict began.

Key facts

  • Producer price index rose 3.9% year-on-year in May
  • Economists forecast 3.5%
  • Consumer prices rose 1.2% in May
  • Consumer prices unchanged from April
  • Consumer price forecast was 1.4%
  • Price increases driven by higher oil costs from Iran war
  • Manufacturers have raised prices for three consecutive months
  • Highest factory price increase since 2022

Entities

Institutions

  • Wind

Locations

  • China
  • Iran

Sources