China could erode US AI dominance within 10-20 years, scholar warns
A new study, co-written by Li Cheng, who heads the Centre on Contemporary China and the World at the University of Hong Kong, indicates that in the next 10 to 20 years, China's energy and industrial capabilities might pose a challenge to the US's dominance in AI. Released on Wednesday, the research highlights that while the US currently leads in advanced chips and AI infrastructure, it faces several structural issues that could jeopardize its future. Meanwhile, China is rapidly advancing in energy and AI use, with the gap in AI models narrowing. The authors emphasize that China's focus on affordable, open-source models is propelling its AI growth, unlike the high-end, proprietary models favored by American firms.
Key facts
- Li Cheng is founding director of the Centre on Contemporary China and the World (CCCW) at the University of Hong Kong.
- The paper was co-authored by Li Cheng and two others, released on Wednesday.
- China could dismantle US AI dominance within 10 to 20 years.
- US maintains a decisive stranglehold in advanced chips and AI infrastructure.
- China has clear leads in energy and AI applications.
- The gap in AI models is narrowing to a manageable range.
- China embraces cost-efficient, open-source models.
- US firms favor premium, closed-source models.
Entities
Institutions
- Centre on Contemporary China and the World (CCCW)
- University of Hong Kong
Locations
- China
- United States
- Hong Kong