Ancient Chinese wars offer lessons for modern global order

A new book analyzing the Spring and Autumn period of ancient China (770-476 BCE) examines how experiments in conflict and diplomacy during that era can inform understanding of today's global power dynamics. The work draws parallels between the balance-of-power struggles among Chinese states and modern international relations, referencing historian A.J.P. Taylor's observations on European great power politics. Taylor argued that sovereign states exist in a Hobbesian state of nature, yet periods of peace have been maintained through the Balance of Power, though statesmen often tire of this perpetual vigilance. The book suggests that the ancient Chinese experience, with its shifting alliances and wars, offers insights into whether hegemony or a balance of power is more sustainable. The Spring and Autumn period saw numerous states vying for dominance, leading to both conflict and diplomatic innovation. The author contends that these historical patterns resonate with contemporary geopolitical rivalries, particularly the US-China competition. The book is published by SCMP and appears in the opinion section.