Ahr Valley flood risk recalculated: When the Ahr could flood again
Five years after the catastrophic flood of July 14, 2021, studies are reassessing the likelihood of extreme weather events in the Ahr Valley. The German Weather Service had warned of heavy rainfall days before, but no experts predicted the disaster, the worst natural catastrophe in over 200 years. On July 13, rain began, and by the morning of July 14 it was pouring. The nearest meteorological station in Prüm measured 125 liters per square meter, more than double the normal July rainfall. The first half of 2021 had already been unusually wet in the Eifel region, saturating the soil. The article discusses how such risks are now being recalculated and what protection is needed.
Key facts
- Five years after the 2021 flood, recovery and analysis are ongoing.
- The German Weather Service warned of heavy rain before July 14, 2021.
- The flood was the worst natural disaster in the Ahr Valley in over 200 years.
- Rain began on July 13, 2021, and intensified on July 14.
- The Prüm station recorded 125 liters per square meter on July 14.
- That amount is more than double the normal July rainfall.
- The first half of 2021 was unusually wet in the Eifel region.
- Studies now calculate the probability of future extreme events.
Entities
Institutions
- Deutscher Wetterdienst
- Landesamt für Umwelt
Locations
- Ahrtal
- Ahr Valley
- Eifel
- Prüm
- Germany