What's in the Price of a Gallon of Gas?
A recent analysis breaks down the components of U.S. gasoline prices: 51% comes from crude oil, 20% from refining, 11% from distribution and marketing, and 18% from taxes. The ongoing conflict in Iran has led to significant supply issues, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, impacting millions of barrels daily. California drivers have been facing a "mystery gasoline surcharge" of 20-30 cents per gallon since a refinery fire in 2015, resulting in $59 billion in costs from 2015 to 2024. Gas tax holidays provide limited relief, offering only about 79% of the reduction. The Jones Act adds 1.5 cents to East Coast prices, costing $770 million each year, although it's currently on hold. Refiner profits surged recently, with Exxon earning $4.2 billion and Chevron $2.2 billion, both exceeding expectations. Analysts predict even higher earnings for the second quarter.
Key facts
- Crude oil accounted for about 51% of pump price in January 2026.
- War in Iran has caused a supply shock via Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
- California's mystery gasoline surcharge cost drivers $59 billion from 2015 to 2024.
- Gas tax holidays give consumers about 79% of the reduction.
- Jones Act raises East Coast gas prices by 1.5 cents per gallon, costing $770 million annually.
- Crack spread jumped from $28.55 on Feb 27 to $44.33 on Mar 5.
- In 2022, crude rose 71 cents/gallon but retail jumped $1.50, a 79-cent profit gap.
- Exxon Q1 net income $4.2B, Chevron $2.2B; Q2 earnings expected to double/triple.
Entities
Institutions
- California Division of Petroleum Market Oversight
- U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Georgia Institute of Technology
- University of California, Berkeley
- ExxonMobil
- Chevron
- CNN Business
- Washington Monthly
- The Conversation
- Naked Capitalism
- Sunoco
Locations
- United States
- California
- Georgia
- Alaska
- District of Columbia
- Torrance
- Gulf Coast
- Northeast
- Strait of Hormuz
- Middle East
- Russia
- Ukraine
- Iran