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What's in the Price of a Gallon of Gas?

economy-finance · 2026-05-03

A recent analysis breaks down the components of U.S. gasoline prices: 51% comes from crude oil, 20% from refining, 11% from distribution and marketing, and 18% from taxes. The ongoing conflict in Iran has led to significant supply issues, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, impacting millions of barrels daily. California drivers have been facing a "mystery gasoline surcharge" of 20-30 cents per gallon since a refinery fire in 2015, resulting in $59 billion in costs from 2015 to 2024. Gas tax holidays provide limited relief, offering only about 79% of the reduction. The Jones Act adds 1.5 cents to East Coast prices, costing $770 million each year, although it's currently on hold. Refiner profits surged recently, with Exxon earning $4.2 billion and Chevron $2.2 billion, both exceeding expectations. Analysts predict even higher earnings for the second quarter.

Key facts

  • Crude oil accounted for about 51% of pump price in January 2026.
  • War in Iran has caused a supply shock via Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
  • California's mystery gasoline surcharge cost drivers $59 billion from 2015 to 2024.
  • Gas tax holidays give consumers about 79% of the reduction.
  • Jones Act raises East Coast gas prices by 1.5 cents per gallon, costing $770 million annually.
  • Crack spread jumped from $28.55 on Feb 27 to $44.33 on Mar 5.
  • In 2022, crude rose 71 cents/gallon but retail jumped $1.50, a 79-cent profit gap.
  • Exxon Q1 net income $4.2B, Chevron $2.2B; Q2 earnings expected to double/triple.

Entities

Institutions

  • California Division of Petroleum Market Oversight
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration
  • Georgia Institute of Technology
  • University of California, Berkeley
  • ExxonMobil
  • Chevron
  • CNN Business
  • Washington Monthly
  • The Conversation
  • Naked Capitalism
  • Sunoco

Locations

  • United States
  • California
  • Georgia
  • Alaska
  • District of Columbia
  • Torrance
  • Gulf Coast
  • Northeast
  • Strait of Hormuz
  • Middle East
  • Russia
  • Ukraine
  • Iran

Sources