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Trump’s China visit comes as Asia’s capex super cycle shifts economic power

economy-finance · 2026-05-16

When President Donald Trump visited China, a group of 17 business leaders aimed to land deals in Asia's largest market. Their investments are expected to boost the economy in China and across the continent, which is already seeing a shift in economic patterns. East Asian companies are ramping up spending on advanced tech and renewable energy like never before, driven by US trade tensions, Middle Eastern conflicts, and fierce global AI competition. Morgan Stanley predicts a “super cycle” in Asian spending on infrastructure, recalling the growth phase from 2003 to 2007. In a note from April 27, they pointed out increased investments in defense, AI, and energy that are creating jobs and raising wages. Xu Tianchen from the Economist Intelligence Unit noted that China's robust supply chain makes it well-equipped for this new economic phase. Meanwhile, the US-Iran conflict is causing energy supply issues, adding to global uncertainty and straining US-China relations.

Key facts

  • Trump visited China with 17 executives seeking deals.
  • Asia is experiencing a capex super cycle not seen since 2003–2007.
  • Morgan Stanley declared the super cycle in an April 27 research note.
  • Spending is rising in defence, AI, AI infrastructure, and energy transitions.
  • Xu Tianchen of the Economist Intelligence Unit highlighted China’s supply chain advantage.
  • US-Iran war disrupts global energy supplies and strains US-China ties.
  • East Asian companies are raising capex to 20-year highs.
  • The super cycle is creating jobs and increasing wages.

Entities

Institutions

  • Morgan Stanley
  • Economist Intelligence Unit
  • White House
  • South China Morning Post

Locations

  • China
  • Beijing
  • Asia
  • East Asia
  • United States
  • Iran
  • Middle East
  • New York

Sources