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Trump Faces Defeat in US Midterms Amid Voter Anger Over Inflation and Iran War

other · 2026-07-26

As the US midterm elections approach in 100 days, President Donald Trump is at risk of losing as voter dissatisfaction grows over inflation and the conflict with Iran. Should Democrats secure a win in the House, they would gain control over influential committees and the power to issue subpoenas, potentially leading to two years of investigations into Trump's administration and a possible third impeachment effort. Republicans are facing the final phase with a historically slim majority in the House, low presidential approval ratings, and a public increasingly frustrated with rising living expenses and the war. Decision Desk HQ estimates a 59% likelihood of a Democratic House victory, predicting a majority of 224-211. Although Trump will not be on the ballot on November 3, the implications for his presidency are significant.

Key facts

  • 100 days until US midterm elections
  • Trump faces defeat amid voter anger over inflation and Iran war
  • Democratic House likely to investigate Trump and potentially expose him to a third impeachment drive
  • Republicans have historically narrow House majority and weak approval ratings
  • Decision Desk HQ predicts 59% chance of Democrats winning House, 224-211 majority
  • President's party usually loses ground in midterms
  • Trump not on ballot but stakes are high
  • Election date: November 3

Entities

Institutions

  • Decision Desk HQ
  • Democratic Party
  • Republican Party
  • House of Representatives

Locations

  • United States

Sources