ARTFEED — Contemporary Art Intelligence

Russia's European Rivals Mass on Its Borders

other · 2026-05-28

Andrew Korybko analyzes the military-strategic convergence of the UK, France, and Germany on Russia's borders. The UK is entrenching in Estonia to lead containment along the Arctic-Baltic front. Germany opened a base in Lithuania and signed a deep-strike defense co-production deal with Ukraine. France announced regular nuclear drills with Poland and has a base in Romania and a military pact with Moldova. The 'military Schengen' between the Netherlands, Germany, and Poland may expand to include France and the Baltic states, optimizing troop flow to Russia's borders. Korybko warns this could embolden partners to behave aggressively, potentially leading to a hot NATO-Russia war. He outlines three scenarios: NATO accepts Russia's proposals, Russia launches a preventive war, or Russia subordinates itself to the West.

Key facts

  • UK leads containment from Estonia along Arctic-Baltic front
  • Germany opened a base in Lithuania
  • France announced regular nuclear drills with Poland
  • Germany clinched deep-strike defense co-production deal with Ukraine
  • France has a base in Romania and military pact with Moldova
  • 'Military Schengen' between Netherlands, Germany, Poland may expand to France and Baltic states
  • Korybko warns of potential hot NATO-Russia war
  • Three scenarios: NATO accepts proposals, Russia launches preventive war, or Russia subordinates

Entities

Institutions

  • NATO
  • Russian Security Council
  • European Union

Locations

  • Estonia
  • Lithuania
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Moldova
  • Ukraine
  • Netherlands
  • Germany
  • France
  • United Kingdom
  • Russia
  • Kaliningrad
  • Belarus
  • Baltic Sea
  • Arctic

Sources