Prediction markets see near-certainty Musk becomes first trillionaire by 2027

Traders on prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing in over 90% odds that Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire before 2027. The bets hinge on Musk's net worth crossing the $1 trillion threshold, driven largely by expectations of a SpaceX initial public offering. Musk currently leads the Bloomberg Billionaires Index with a net worth of around $240 billion, but the trillion-dollar milestone would require a more than fourfold increase. The prediction markets reflect extreme confidence in Musk's business ventures, particularly SpaceX, which has been valued at over $180 billion in private markets. A SpaceX IPO could dramatically boost Musk's wealth, as the company is a leader in space launch and satellite internet. Kalshi and Polymarket are popular platforms for event contracts on financial and political outcomes.