ARTFEED — Contemporary Art Intelligence

PESD-TSF: Physics-Inspired Framework for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

other · 2026-05-20

A new deep learning framework, PESD-TSF, addresses long-term time series forecasting by tackling periodic perception attenuation and entangled trend-noise representations. The framework introduces a Multiplicative Periodic Gating mechanism with continuous-time priors to preserve periodic structures across deep layers. It also employs a multi-scale structured encoder with detrended attention and hierarchical sampling to decouple long-term trends from high-frequency components. Additionally, PESD-TSF overcomes the limitations of channel-independent paradigms by modeling cross-variable consistency in multivariate time series. The approach emphasizes both interpretability and predictive accuracy, offering a physics-inspired structured decomposition for forecasting.

Key facts

  • PESD-TSF is a physics-inspired structured decomposition framework for long-term time series forecasting.
  • It introduces a Multiplicative Periodic Gating mechanism with continuous-time priors.
  • The framework uses a multi-scale structured encoder with detrended attention and hierarchical sampling.
  • It addresses attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations in deep networks.
  • PESD-TSF models cross-variable consistency in multivariate time series.
  • The framework jointly emphasizes interpretability and predictive accuracy.
  • It overcomes limitations of channel-independent paradigms.
  • The paper is available on arXiv with ID 2605.16449.

Entities

Institutions

  • arXiv

Sources