ARTFEED — Contemporary Art Intelligence

Missingness-MDPs: A New Framework for Planning Under Missing Data

other · 2026-05-13

Researchers have recently unveiled a new kind of partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), called missingness-MDPs or miss-MDPs, which focuses on missing data theories. In this model, the observation function serves as a missingness function, indicating the probability of certain state features being unseen. They categorize missingness into three types: missing completely at random (MCAR), missing at random (MAR), and missing not at random (MNAR). The main issue is figuring out nearly optimal policies for a miss-MDP without knowing the missingness function, relying on datasets of action-observation trajectories. To achieve guarantees of optimality, understanding the missingness function is crucial, which can be difficult for general POMDPs. The findings are detailed in a paper on arXiv with the ID 2605.12262.

Key facts

  • Introduces missingness-MDPs (miss-MDPs), a subclass of POMDPs.
  • Observation function is a missingness function.
  • Three missingness types: MCAR, MAR, MNAR.
  • Planning problem: compute near-optimal policies with unknown missingness function.
  • Dataset consists of action-observation trajectories.
  • Learning missingness function is infeasible for general POMDPs.
  • Exploits structural properties of missingness types for PAC guarantees.
  • Paper available on arXiv:2605.12262.

Entities

Institutions

  • arXiv

Sources