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Memory shortage drives up consumer electronics prices

economy-finance · 2026-05-23

A memory shortage is causing consumer electronics prices to rise. David Oks explains that three major memory manufacturers have fixed wafer capacity split between DDR, LPDDR, and HBM. HBM, used with GPUs, previously got 2% of wafer allocation but is expected to reach 20% by end of 2026 due to AI data center growth. A gigabyte of HBM consumes over three times the wafer capacity of DDR or LPDDR. Companies under-provision capacity to avoid overproduction. HBM demand constrains consumer-device RAM production, already affecting sub-$100 smartphones in Africa and South Asia.

Key facts

  • Memory shortage causes repricing of consumer electronics
  • Three large memory manufacturers have fixed wafer capacity
  • HBM allocation expected to rise from 2% to 20% by end of 2026
  • HBM consumes over three times the wafer capacity of DDR or LPDDR per gigabyte
  • Memory companies under-provision fabricator capacity
  • HBM demand constrains consumer-device RAM production for several years
  • Sub-$100 smartphone market already affected
  • Impact particularly important for Africa and South Asia

Entities

Institutions

  • Simon Willison

Locations

  • Africa
  • South Asia

Sources