K33 Research: Bitcoin's $60K February Low Was Bear Market's Maximum Drawdown
K33 Research, a Norwegian crypto analytics company, has announced that Bitcoin's decline to $60,000 in February represents the largest drawdown of the ongoing bear market cycle. In their report released on Tuesday, the firm noted that this cycle differs from the downturns seen in 2014, 2018, and 2022. The drawdown of approximately 52% from the all-time high of $126,272 on October 6, 2025, is relatively mild compared to previous declines of 78-84%. Vetle Lunde, Head of Research, described the current sentiment as "uniquely pessimistic" yet paradoxically bullish, suggesting that diminished selling pressure could limit further losses. K33 anticipates Bitcoin will remain between $60,000 and $75,000 for an extended period, with Bitcoin trading around $77,400 on May 20, reflecting a 4.2% decrease over the past week.
Key facts
- K33 Research says Bitcoin's $60,000 February low was the bear market's maximum drawdown.
- The maximum drawdown is approximately 52% from the all-time high of $126,272 on October 6, 2025.
- Previous bear markets saw 78-84% peak-to-trough declines.
- Bitcoin's 30-day average funding rate has been negative for 81 consecutive days.
- Annualized basis on CME Bitcoin futures dropped below 2.5%.
- Vetle Lunde is K33's Head of Research.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs, regulated custody, and the GENIUS Act of 2025 provide structural support.
- Bitcoin traded near $77,400 on May 20, down 4.2% over seven days.
Entities
Institutions
- K33 Research
- CME
- CoinMarketCap
- Coinglass
- NFT Plazas
- crypto.news
Locations
- Norway