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Goldman Sachs: September Fed Rate Hike 'Very Unlikely' as Inflation Cools

economy-finance · 2026-08-17

According to a Bloomberg report, Goldman Sachs has indicated that the Federal Reserve is 'very unlikely' to raise interest rates in September. The investment bank believes that the market's anticipation of future rate hikes is overly optimistic, especially in light of the current decline in inflation. This perspective emerges as investors and economists closely watch the Fed's monetary policy direction. Goldman Sachs suggests that the central bank may maintain steady rates for the time being, with potential cuts later this year. Their analysis, which reflects a more dovish outlook compared to some market players still expecting a hike, is informed by recent inflation data indicating a slowdown. This commentary is crucial for financial markets, impacting borrowing costs and investment strategies.

Key facts

  • Goldman Sachs called a September Federal Reserve rate increase 'very unlikely'.
  • The statement was reported by Bloomberg.
  • Goldman argues market expectations for future rate increases are too aggressive.
  • Inflation continues to ease, supporting the case for no hike.
  • The assessment is based on economic indicators and policy signals.
  • This view contrasts with some market participants who still expect a hike.
  • The news affects financial markets, including borrowing costs and investment strategies.
  • The report was published on August 17, 2026.

Entities

Institutions

  • Goldman Sachs
  • Federal Reserve
  • Bloomberg

Sources