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GitHub Copilot Moves to Usage-Based Pricing, Revealing AI's Broken Economics

ai-technology · 2026-04-28

Microsoft announced that GitHub Copilot will switch to usage-based pricing on June 1, 2026, ending the flat-rate subscription model. Users will now be charged based on actual token consumption rather than a fixed number of requests. This shift exposes the fundamental economic unsustainability of generative AI services, which have been heavily subsidized by providers. The article argues that monthly subscriptions for LLM-powered services are inherently flawed because user costs vary wildly, and companies like OpenAI and Anthropic have deliberately obfuscated true costs to grow user bases. Anthropic estimates average Claude Code costs at $13-$30 per developer per day, with some users spending over $7,000 annually. The piece also critiques the economics of AI data centers, using Stargate Abilene as a case study: a 1.2GW campus costing $52.8 billion that may yield only 37% gross margin even under ideal conditions. Oracle's entire future depends on OpenAI's ability to generate $852 billion in revenue and funding by 2030 to pay for compute contracts. The author concludes that generative AI is a con, with unsustainable business models, deceptive pricing, and no clear path to profitability.

Key facts

  • GitHub Copilot moves to usage-based pricing on June 1, 2026.
  • Microsoft previously lost over $20 per user per month on Copilot.
  • Anthropic estimates average Claude Code cost at $13-$30 per developer per day.
  • Stargate Abilene data center campus is 1.2GW, costing $52.8 billion.
  • Oracle expects $10 billion annual revenue from Stargate Abilene.
  • OpenAI needs to raise $852 billion by 2030 to pay compute contracts.
  • OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar expressed concern about paying future compute contracts.
  • CoreWeave made $5.1 billion in revenue in 2025.

Entities

Institutions

  • GitHub
  • Microsoft
  • OpenAI
  • Anthropic
  • Oracle
  • CoreWeave
  • NVIDIA
  • Google
  • Amazon
  • Meta
  • SpaceX
  • Cursor
  • Perplexity
  • Salesforce
  • Uber
  • Goldman Sachs
  • TD Cowen
  • Applied Digital
  • Crusoe
  • Brightlio
  • The Information
  • Wall Street Journal
  • DatacenterDynamics
  • IFR

Locations

  • Ellendale, North Dakota
  • United States
  • Abilene, Texas
  • Wisconsin
  • Shackelford
  • Michigan

Sources