Formalizing Causal Pathways for Rare Events in AI

A recent publication on arXiv presents a formal definition of causal pathways related to rare events, expanding on previous research in root cause analysis for outliers within structural equation models. The authors delineate specific conditions where testable implications rely solely on a causal abstraction defined by the pathway, instead of the entire causal graph. They also propose an abstraction that connects straightforward verbal descriptions with comprehensive causal modeling.