Drought Likely Fueled Brazil's Urban Yellow Fever Outbreak, Says New Study
On August 14, a study in Science Advances revealed that a rare drought, occurring once every century, played a role in Brazil's first urban yellow fever outbreak in decades, which lasted from 2016 to 2018 and resulted in over 2,000 cases and nearly 750 fatalities. Conducted by Jamie Caldwell from Princeton University, the research utilized simulations to demonstrate how the drought affected the behavior of howler monkeys, marmosets, and mosquitoes, leading them to urban environments and increasing mosquito bites. The findings, which focused on data from Minas Gerais, identified Haemagogus mosquitoes as the primary vector of the outbreak, rather than Aedes aegypti. Experts highlighted the public health implications, emphasizing that drought conditions can provide crucial time for vaccine distribution. Yellow fever continues to pose a serious risk, causing between 67,000 and 173,000 severe infections each year.
Key facts
- Brazil's first urban yellow fever outbreak in decades occurred from 2016 to 2018, with over 2,000 cases and nearly 750 deaths.
- The study was published August 14 in Science Advances.
- Researchers used computer simulations to show drought likely changed behavior of howler monkeys, marmosets, and mosquitoes.
- The actual outbreak was driven by forest-dwelling Haemagogus mosquitoes, not Aedes aegypti.
- The mathematical model was based on data from Minas Gerais and matched real outbreak patterns.
- Experts noted other contributing factors: low vaccination coverage, warming temperatures, and deforestation.
- Drought is slow-moving, providing lead time for public health officials to distribute vaccines.
- Yellow fever causes an estimated 67,000 to 173,000 severe infections and 31,000 to 82,000 deaths annually in Africa and South America.
Entities
Artists
- Nelson Almeida
- Sarah Kuta
- Noah Rose
- Sadie Ryan
- Jamie Caldwell
- David Soeiro
- Ailie McWhinnie
- Erin Garcia de Jesús
- Durrie Bouscaren
Institutions
- Princeton University
- Science Advances
- University of California, San Diego
- University of Florida
- Federal University of Minas Gerais
- World Health Organization
- Science
- Science News
- NPR
- AFP
- Getty Images
Locations
- Brazil
- South America
- Africa
- Minas Gerais
- Longmont
- Colorado