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Demographer Paul Morland warns of global population collapse

other · 2026-05-12

Demographer Paul Morland, speaking at the St. Gallen Symposium, warns that declining birth rates will lead to societal collapse. He cites South Korea, where the birth rate has fallen so low that the next generation will be only 40% of the current population, and the following generation just 16%. Japan, he notes, loses nearly one million people annually and will see its ratio of workers to retirees drop from 9:1 in 1960 to 1:1 when its population returns to 100 million. Morland argues that no historical precedent exists for a voluntary, long-term global decline in fertility. He dismisses AI as a solution, stating that productivity gains are unproven and the prospect of robot care is bleak. On immigration, he says Switzerland's situation is unique due to its small size and cultural alignment with neighboring countries, but warns that in the UK, rapid demographic change has caused political problems. He rejects accusations that pronatalism is right-wing, citing Emmanuel Macron's call for 'demographic rearmament' and historical support from leftist figures. Morland advocates for policies enabling women to have the two or three children they desire, including men sharing family work. His latest book, 'No One Left', promotes progressive pronatalism.

Key facts

  • Paul Morland spoke at the St. Gallen Symposium.
  • South Korea's birth rate leads to a 60% population decline per generation.
  • Japan loses nearly 1 million people annually.
  • Japan's worker-to-retiree ratio will drop from 9:1 to 1:1.
  • Morland says no historical precedent exists for voluntary global fertility decline.
  • He dismisses AI as a solution to demographic decline.
  • Morland cites Emmanuel Macron as a pronatalist.
  • His book 'No One Left' promotes progressive pronatalism.

Entities

Institutions

  • St. Gallen Symposium
  • Birkbeck College, University of London

Locations

  • South Korea
  • Japan
  • Switzerland
  • United Kingdom
  • London
  • Chile
  • Jamaica
  • Thailand
  • Singapore
  • China
  • Malaysia
  • India
  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy
  • United States
  • Mexico

Sources