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Citi Raises Q3 Brent Forecast to $80 Amid Slow Iran Nuclear Talks

economy-finance · 2026-08-07

Citi has increased its third-quarter Brent crude oil price forecast to $80 per barrel, up from $75, citing the prolonged U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations as the primary factor. The bank's analysts, as reported by Reuters, maintain confidence that a deal will ultimately be reached, but the extended timeline has prompted a higher near-term price assumption. This adjustment reflects the market's sensitivity to geopolitical developments and their impact on oil supply expectations. The revision was announced on Friday, with the bank's outlook now aligning with a more cautious view of the negotiations' progress. Citi's decision underscores the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the talks and its implications for global oil prices.

Key facts

  • Citi raised its Q3 Brent crude forecast to $80 per barrel from $75.
  • The revision was made on Friday.
  • The slow-moving U.S.-Iran negotiations are cited as the key driver.
  • Citi analysts expressed continued confidence that a deal will eventually be reached.
  • The delay has warranted a higher near-term price assumption.
  • The information was reported by Reuters.
  • The forecast adjustment reflects market sensitivity to geopolitical developments.
  • The revision was announced on Friday.

Entities

Institutions

  • Citi
  • Reuters

Locations

  • United States
  • Iran

Sources