Causal EpiNets: Neural Bounds for Individual Treatment Effects
A new arXiv paper (2605.07065v1) introduces Causal EpiNets, a neural framework for estimating individual treatment effects using Probability of Necessity and Sufficiency (PNS). Standard plug-in estimators fail due to structural probability violations and extremum bias from max-min operators, producing narrow intervals. The proposed method uses an anchored neural architecture to guarantee constraint satisfaction and precision-corrected intersection-bound inference with Epistemic Neural Networks for uncertainty quantification. Empirical evaluations show the approach maintains correct coverage.
Key facts
- Paper ID: arXiv:2605.07065v1
- Addresses finite-sample PNS estimation
- Standard plug-in estimators violate structural probability constraints
- Standard estimators suffer from extremum bias
- Proposes anchored neural architecture
- Uses Epistemic Neural Networks for uncertainty quantification
- Empirical evaluations show maintained coverage
- Focus on individual treatment effects
Entities
—