AI Productivity Gains Not Translating to Worker Compensation, Research Shows
So, there's this recent research showing that AI tools are making workers more productive, but it's not translating into higher wages. A study from 2023 by Erik Brynjolfsson, Danielle Li, and Lindsey Raymond from MIT and Stanford found that a Fortune 500 company experienced a 14% boost in productivity, especially among newer employees. Daniel Keum from Columbia Business School mentioned to Quartz that AI is actually weakening workers' negotiating power, making it easier for companies to swap out human labor for tech. According to the Economic Policy Institute, productivity has increased about eight times faster than wages since 1979. Plus, Federal Reserve data shows a decline in labor's share of business income. Aaron Terrazas pointed out that companies are cutting back on pay through fewer benefits and higher demands, which he calls 'shrinkflation.' There’s growing concern among economists that AI could drastically change the landscape for white-collar workers, and whether they’ll see any benefits from these productivity gains is still up in the air.
Key facts
- AI tools increased worker productivity by 14% at a Fortune 500 company according to a 2023 NBER working paper
- Productivity has grown roughly eight times faster than typical worker pay since 1979 per Economic Policy Institute data
- Labor's share of nonfarm business income has declined from about 64% to roughly 56% in recent decades
- Columbia Business School professor Daniel Keum explained AI weakens worker bargaining power
- Former Glassdoor chief economist Aaron Terrazas identified 'shrinkflation' in compensation practices
- The research on AI and compensation is early but consistent according to economists
- AI targets the cognitive premium that white-collar workers previously earned
- Whether workers will capture AI productivity gains remains an open question
Entities
Institutions
- Economic Policy Institute
- Columbia Business School
- Quartz
- MIT
- Stanford
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Glassdoor
- Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Federal Reserve
Sources
- Quartz —