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AI Hedge Fund's 67% July Plunge Sparks Leverage Warnings from Chinese Investors

economy-finance · 2026-07-31

The collapse of Situational Awareness, a US hedge fund heavily invested in the AI supply chain, has triggered warnings from Chinese investors about the dangers of leverage and chasing hot trends. In July alone, the fund's portfolio plummeted 67%, according to a letter from the firm to investors reported by The Wall Street Journal. The fund, founded in 2024 by Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher, offloaded billions of dollars in technology shares to Citadel on Thursday after failing to meet lenders' collateral demands. The stocks involved, including memory-chip makers SK Hynix and SanDisk and AI cloud-computing provider Nebius Group, experienced sharp declines, with SanDisk and Nebius falling over 30% in the past month. Shanghai-based analysts Harry Shen and Michael Zhang emphasized the risks of using borrowed money and blindly following market trends, noting that by the time retail investors enter, others may be exiting. The incident serves as a wake-up call for Chinese tech investors amid volatility in US tech stocks.

Key facts

  • Situational Awareness, an AI-focused hedge fund, saw its portfolio value plummet 67% in July 2025.
  • The fund was founded in 2024 by Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher.
  • It offloaded billions of dollars in tech shares to Citadel on Thursday after failing to meet collateral demands.
  • The fund bet heavily on AI supply chain stocks including SK Hynix, SanDisk, and Nebius Group.
  • SK Hynix shares have fallen more than 10% since listing on Nasdaq on July 10, 2025.
  • SanDisk and Nebius have slumped more than 30% over the past month.
  • Shanghai-based analyst Harry Shen warned 'Don't use leverage!' in an interview with the South China Morning Post.
  • Shanghai-based stock market veteran Michael Zhang advised against trading with borrowed money and chasing hot topics.
  • The Wall Street Journal reported the fund's July performance on Friday, citing a letter to investors.

Entities

Artists

  • Leopold Aschenbrenner

Institutions

  • Situational Awareness
  • Citadel
  • SK Hynix
  • SanDisk
  • Nebius Group
  • OpenAI
  • The Wall Street Journal
  • South China Morning Post

Locations

  • Shanghai
  • China
  • United States

Sources