30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High; Mortgage Rates Stay Near 7%
On Tuesday, the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury reached 5.323%, marking its highest level in 19 years, and closed just shy of 5.3%, which is exerting pressure on mortgage rates nearing 7%. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 4.7%, a rise from below 4% prior to the Iran War in late February. The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage increased to 6.75% from 6.69%. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, pointed out that rising bond yields reflect worries about ongoing inflation. In July, the consumer price index rose 3.4% year-over-year, exceeding the Fed's 2% goal, while geopolitical tensions and escalating oil prices further fueled inflation fears. Higher Treasury yields are pushing up consumer borrowing costs, with new-vehicle financing at 7% and used-vehicle loans at 10.6%.
Key facts
- 30-year Treasury yield touched 5.323% on Tuesday
- 10-year Treasury yield crossed above 4.7%
- Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.75%
- July CPI rose 3.4% year over year, above Fed's 2% goal
- July federal deficit hit $432.3 billion, largest since March 2021
- Interest on national debt cost about $1.2 trillion this year
- Japanese 10-year debt hit three-decade high; German and French 30-year yields reached multi-year records
- Lawrence Yun suggests 7-year ARMs; Jeff DerGurahian calls relief temporary
Entities
Institutions
- National Association of Realtors
- CNBC
- Bloomberg
- LoanDepot
- Federal Reserve
- U.S. Treasury
Locations
- United States
- Iran
- Japan
- Germany
- France
Sources
- Quartz —