Analysis of US-Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions as intentional stalemate

The 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) represented a multilateral agreement verified by international inspectors and endorsed by all permanent UN Security Council members plus Germany. Iranian moderates, including then-president Hassan Rowhani, staked political credibility on this framework for gradual regional reintegration. Withdrawal proponents never clarified what pressure regime change or a better deal would produce, as these destinations didn't survive scrutiny. Two decades of observable behavior suggest policies may intentionally maintain conflict just below resolution threshold. Washington think tanks, Pentagon procurement offices, Israeli coalition governments, and Gulf royal courts share aligned interests that produce outcomes resembling coordination. Permanent tension appears as an intended product rather than reckless policy, with recklessness serving as alibi rather than diagnosis. The standard critique fails to examine who benefits from Iran remaining an enemy rather than a managed problem.